Is the market crash ended? Just the beginning! The market crash is every 7 years

In the few week before, i was post my article about US market crash every 7 years, so 2022 will market crash. But only few people accept this article's viewpoint, Now Nasdaq and Dow has intraday reversad, so the crash is ended?


Huge reversal days are rare ， there are only six historical precedents for the Nasdaq dropping 4% or more and closing higher — in data spanning about 34 years.


The Other days are:


10/28/97


10/26/00


7/15/02


10/10/08


11/13/08


and this time 1/24/2022


If we expand the simple size from 1929, there are the average loss after the reversal date was 13.36% with a median of 6.72%


As I mentioned before, The economic cycle of U.S. stocks has a very obvious 7-year cycle.


-In 1966, the United States experienced a "credit crunch". In August of the same year, the U.S. Treasury market suffered a severe "liquidity crisis.


-In 1973, seven years later, the world suffered the "first oil crisis", with stock market and economic problems and the first stagflation.


-Seven years later, in 1980, Wall Street forced the Hunt brothers to stop hoarding silver , which helped some banks and securities firms to avoid bankruptcy.


-In October 1987, the Dow fell 22% in one day on "Black Monday".


-Seven years later, in 1994, the FED raised interest rates six times in a row, and interest rates rose sharply from 3% to 6%, resulting in the most famous bond massacre in history.


-Seven years later, in 2001, the Black Swan event of 9/11 triggered a severe setback in the global stock market, and the U.S. declared an emergency stock market closure from 9/11 to 9/14, but the market resumed on the 17th, the U.S. stocks still had a panic sale, the S&P 500 index opened at 1,092 points and closed almost at the low of 1,038 points, down 5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Index was killed to 8,883 points, down 7%, and the stock market fell 14% in one week.


The 7-year cycle came to 2008, the financial tsunami, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks plunged.


-In 2015, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks crash.


-2022:?


I would predict that in 2022, there may be a significant pullback in US stocks.


Stop asking why there is no 2020/3, because there is more than one starting point for the cycle and there are different periods that affect the stock market, and 2022 is a 7 year cycle

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